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Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – April 21st

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Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below…

Andrew found 4-1 Ludlow winner ROCK ON RITA on Wednesday and has three selections on Thursday, April 21st. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

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BEVERLEY 1.55

VAN GERWEN (system – Paul Midgley/Kevin Stott, 5f handicaps, recent run)

Trainer Paul Midgley and jockey Kevin Stott are a potent force when combining in 5f handicaps and those that had raced within the past fortnight won 12 of their 42 starts for a profit of £42.83 to a £1 level stake at SP. VAN GERWEN was just touched off in this race last year, is well drawn in stall 1 and will improve for his comeback run at Pontefract ten days ago.

 

WARWICK 2.50

LET ME BE (system – Dr Richard Newland, stable switchers in handicap hurdles)

Dr Richard Newland does well at the first time of asking with new acquisitions, especially when they are running in handicap hurdles. He’s won with 27 of the 88 qualifiers (30.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £34.96. The ex-Keith Dalgleish-trained LET ME BE can make a winning start for his new yard in this 2m3f handicap hurdle. Dr Newland has only had two horses from the Dalgleish yard before that debuted for him in handicap hurdles and both won.

 

BEVERLEY 3.40

SAULIRE STAR (system – Tim Easterby, first-time blinkers, handicaps)

Tim Easterby has a good overall record when using first-time blinkers on his handicappers and, since the start of 2014, he’s five from 31 when using this headgear on a filly. Backing all the qualifiers would have returned a profit of £67.50 to the usual £1 stake. Ten of the beaten horses made the frame and an each-way approach could pay dividends where SAULIRE STAR is concerned.

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Bet of the Day

Horse Racing NAP of the Day for 21 May | Racing Tips

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The horse racing NAP of the Day on another busy Saturday, 21 May, is Last Crusader. He goes in the 5f Group 2 Temple Stakes at Haydock Park today (3:45). Karl Burke’s sprinter looks a great each way bet at neat 9/1 odds.

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An eye-catching winner on his first start dropping to the minimum horse racing distance last time out, Last Crusader is quickly turned out by connections. He has race fitness on his side against some rivals who may need this reappearance. With the yard in decent nick, this three-year-old Oasis Dream colt is our horse racing NAP today.

Why will horse racing NAP of the Day Last Crusader win?

Burke brings a 20 per cent strike rate with his runners into the weekend. Six of the stable’s last seven winners have been in 5f sprints like this, and top UK betting sites know it only too well. In Last Crusader, Burke has a still unexposed and potentially progressive type at the distance.

He made all and ran on well when landing the Westow Stakes, a Listed contest against fellow three-year-olds, during the Dante Festival at York races just last week. Last Crusader gave 5lb and a 2 1/4 lengths beating to stable companion Guilded. The runner-up was previously a fine fourth at 100/1 during last season’s horse racing results in the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes.

It was a run full of promise from Last Crusader. The handicapper was certainly impressed by his exploits, raising his official rating by 10lb off the back of it. However, the weights are now more favourable. Last Crusader receives 8lb weight-for-age from the older colts and geldings, plus 5lb from the favourite Winter Power.

Today’s horse racing NAP runs for connections with a plan

NAP of the day 21 May 2022

Owners Clipper Logistics run another Burke inmate in Attagirl, so there may be a pacemaker plan afoot. According to the prices on horse racing betting sites, Last Crusader is the stable’s first choice of three runners with connections retained rider Danny Tudhope, who is two from three aboard, in the saddle again.

For those looking for an each way alternative to Winter Power, backing this potential improver instead of sifting through the same old exposed sprinters makes some appeal. That is why Last Crusader is our horse racing NAP for 21 May. A £10 each way punt on him with 888Sport returns £128 if he wins. New customers also qualify for £40 in bonuses with all the info below…

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Related to Our Horse Racing NAP of the Day

With the Flat season now well underway, there are some big events to come over the summer including the Epsom Derby on the Platinum Jubilee weekend and Royal Ascot after that. Here’s the latest daily horse betting tips content from SportsLens:



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Best Bets for Saturday 21st May

Paul Kealy Horse Racing Tips

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Paul Kealy’s Horse Racing Tips – Saturday 21st May 2022

2.00 Haydock: ALRIGHT SUNSHINE (e/w) @ 10/1 with Fitzdares

2.35 Haydock: WHOPUTFIFTYINYOU (e/w) @ 8/1 with Fitzdares

3.10 Haydock: CATURRA @ 15/2 with Fitzdares

1.45 Goodwood: WAR IN HEAVEN (e/w) @ SP with Fitzdares

2.55 York: EY UP IT’S MAGGIE (e/w) @ 10/1 with Fitzdares

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2.00 Haydock: ALRIGHT SUNSHINE (e/w) @ 10/1 with Fitzdares

Improving with each race this season after a good third at Musselburgh last month. Stayed on well to take third that day so the step up to 2m will suit too.

2.35 Haydock: WHOPUTFIFTYINYOU (e/w) @ 8/1 with Fitzdares

3-from-3 from his opening races so an exciting colt for the Clive Cox yard. Course winner here too and has had a nice break since his last run when winning at Newbury.

3.10 Haydock: CATURRA @ 15/2 with Fitzdares
The Clive Cox yard won this in 2017 and look to have another good chance here. This 3 year-old had a top 2 year-old season last term – winning a Group 2 and running well at the top level. Will be better for a recent second in France and looks the value call over the first two in the betting.

1.45 Goodwood: WAR IN HEAVEN (e/w) @ SP with Fitzdares

Second at Ascot last time out was a decent effort and Hayley Turner, who rode that day, is back in the saddle. The Andrew Balding yard also won this race in 2013 with a certain Hayley Turner riding that day too.

2.55 York: EY UP IT’S MAGGIE (e/w) @ 10/1 with Fitzdares

Been running well this year with three top 4 runs. Down a pound from last time and Kieran Schofield riding again to take off 5lbs. Good draw in 4 and expected to go close again.

Note: Odds are subject to change

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RELATED: Horse Racing Today – See All Races at YORK & GOODWOOD and HAYDOCK today, with the latest betting, runners, riders and silks.


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Horse Racing

Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – May 21

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Professional horse racing tipster Andrew Mount takes a good look at today’s Spreadex markets to find the best value spread betting and fixed odds opportunities.

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Andrew successfully opposed DIVINE CONNECTION at Catterick on Friday and has three recommended bets/trades on Saturday, May 21st. Follow his tips on horse racing betting sites throughout the year.

YORK 2.55

ZARGUN’s first three runs at York produced placed efforts at 125-1, 11-1 and 14-1. He was only sixth here on his recent comeback but his usual prominent tactics were abandoned and he had to settle for a 20-1 sixth of 13. Significantly, that race was won by 5-1 stablemate Fine Wine who made all. Expect him to sit closer to the pace this time.

Recommendation: Back ZARGUN in York 2.55

 

STRATFORD 8.00

ASK A HONEYBEE has won six times under Rules but five of those wins came in Class 4 or lower company and he usually struggles in a higher grade. His full record in Class 3 or better company stands at 0223P0221P2F (1-12), with the win coming at odds of 1-9. Today’s track isn’t ideal for his patient style and he can be sold in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.

Recommendation: Oppose ASK A HONEY BEE in Stratford 8.00

 

STRATFORD 8.30

It wasn’t much of a race that GREYSTOKE won at Newton Abbot last time and he was assisted by his main market rivals jumping poorly. The patient tactics employed that day are rarely successful at Stratford and Alan King’s hurdlers often go off at artificially short prices. The yard has only had 30 winners from 283 runners with their Saturday hurdlers since the beginning of 2018 (10.6% strike-rate, -£157.23 to £1) against an expected winners score of 42.54. Fixed odds punters might want to consider pace angle INVINCIBLE WISH at an each-way price.

Recommendation: Oppose GREYSTOKE in Stratford 8.30

 

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